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Italian ambassador fiasco- POLITICO

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First, watch this: China’s Ambassador to France Lu Shaye explains — on French television — how Taiwanese would be “re-educated” after they’re occupied by Beijing.

BLINKEN IN AFRICA: Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s focus shifts from Asia to Africa this week. Today he is joining a U.S.-South Africa strategic dialogue with his counterpart, Naledi Pandor. Here’s how Blinken is explaining the trip.

Next, Blinken heads to the Democratic Republic of the Congo, scene of weeks of deadly protests against a U.N. peacekeeping operation and a bid by President Félix Tshisekedi to auction oil and gas exploration rights inside one of the world’s most precious rainforests.

Why’s Tshisekedi doing it? Three out of four residents live in poverty, and he wants to get paid for conservation.

Tshisekedi isn’t shy about making bold and contradictory moves. His rainforest auction plans come after signing a landmark $500 million deal at the COP26 climate conference to protect the forest, claiming credit at the time for being a “genuine Solution Country to the climate crisis.” On Aug 5. he instructed his ministers to align DRC’s reform agenda with U.S. Millennium Challenge Corporation criteria. MCC is a Congress-funded foreign assistance agency, and DRC currently falls short on 14 of the 21 MCC criteria.

One of the few things DRC has been getting right, according to MCC, is natural resource protection … which doesn’t exactly align with chopping down large swathes of the jungle and pumping oil to the coast.

KENYA — TUESDAY ELECTION PREVIEW: Kenyans vote for a new president, senate and national assembly on Tuesday. The previous election was overturned by the Supreme Court in 2017 and followed by political violence — including the murder of poll workers and around 100 others. More than 1,200 people were killed after a 2007 election.

The two leading candidates are Deputy President William Ruto and former Prime Minister Raila Odinga. Opinion polls put Odinga ahead; he’s supported by current President Uhuru Kenyatta (not running because of term limits) who abandoned his deputy after a falling out.

The biggest story of the election might be young Kenyans boycotting the close race.

Odinga positions himself as a statesman — a mediator in regional conflicts and a supporter of the African Union to promote stability.

Ruto wants to be the outsider: He claims to speak for the “Hustler Nation” — those who work odd jobs to scrape by — but is himself a wealthy landowner. He told BBC he will deal “firmly and decisively” with corruption and “state capture” if he wins.

GREECE — PM UNDER PRESSURE OVER TAPPING OF OPPONENT’S PHONE: Kyriakos Mitsotakis rose to power on the promise of being a clean, moderate politician. So it’s a particularly bad look for his intelligence service to be caught tapping the phone of his political rival Nikos Androulakis, head of the center-left PASOK party.

Both Mitsotakis’s chief of staff (who also happens to be his nephew) and the head of the intelligence service resigned on Friday, my colleague Nektaria Stamouli reported. One report suggests Androulakis was wiretapped at the request of an allied state.

LATIN AMERICA COMINGS AND GOINGS: Gustavo Petro was sworn in as Colombia’s first leftist president over the weekend, and Peru needs a new prime minister after Aníbal Torres resigned — his replacement will be Peru’s fifth prime minister in a year, under President Pedro Castillo.

ITALY — ITALY’S FAR RIGHT BOOSTED BY COLLAPSE OF CENTER-LEFT ALLIANCE: While Italy’s social democrats look to be battling it out at the top of opinion polls with the far-right Brothers of Italy party, that’s mostly an illusion. The small, centrist Azione party has withdrawn its support for the center-left, leaving the combined progressive vote share at around 30 percent, compared to 46 percent for the right. More in POLITICO’s Poll of Polls.

CONGRESS MEETS WORLD

ITALIAN AMBASSADOR FIASCO: Italy is the only G-7 country without a full U.S. ambassador in post. 

Is it really that hard to find someone to spend a few years living in a 15th century villa in Rome? The former Papal Seminary College houses the important Villa Taverna art collection and includes a Baroque fountain, a third century A.D. Roman sarcophagus, ancient Egyptian granite columns and 300-year-old busts of Roman emperors.

Plus the food ain’t too shabby neither.

Or perhaps the problem is that Nancy Pelosi — worried about losing the speakership of the House in November — wants Rome as a back-up option. Is the seat being kept warm for her?

That’s the speculation in Rome, fueled by the lack of a Biden nominee.

Pelosi brought her extended family to a lavish Italian holiday in Forte dei Marmi in July, and Roman observers are split over whether that’s proof of her warming them up for Villa Taverna, or just an indication that America’s most powerful Italian-American can get her dose of la dolce vita through short trips instead.

Whatever the reason for the empty chair, “not having an American ambo in Rome in times of Italian turmoil is simply absurd and self-defeating for Washington,” one highly placed Italian source complained to Global Insider. “I’ve seen good ones from both Democrat and Republican ranks and how they operate, influence, pass messages, pull strings. There’s an audience for them. But they need to be on location.”

A second source, from the Italian corporate sector, worries that there’s no hope of an ambassador in place before summer 2023: “You need the ambassador here now because the leadership of the country is changing.”

The source suggests avoiding a cleavage between a center-left D.C. and an Italian government racing to the right: “Republicans will be absolutely essential to solving this puzzle — for making sure D.C. has all the interlocutors it needs in Rome.”

Republican doyenne Cindy McCain is already in Rome, but as ambassador to the United Nations Agencies for Food and Agriculture.

CHINA FRONTS

MILITARY CAPABILITY LESSONS: What we’re learning from Beijing’s military exercises off Taiwan, by Paul McLeary, Lara Seligman and Alex Ward. One of the takeaways is that China is getting good at coordinating its military branches.

By the numbers: Taiwan’s Ministry of Defense reported 68 aircraft and 13 vessels crossing into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone and the maritime “median line” in the strait separating Taiwan and China. At least one ballistic missile was fired over Taipei, and several missiles landed in Japanese waters.

In the event of an attempted Chinese occupation of Taiwan, Americans surveyed by Morning Consult are keen to cut commercial ties with China, but hesitant about further confrontation. Only 23 percent support cyberattacks against Beijing. The feelings are mutual among Democrats, Republicans and independents.

ZERO COVID RECESSION RISK: China’s exports grew stronger than expected in July, but manufacturing sentiment — a strong recession indicator — remains well below recent averages. A lack of confidence in Chinese investment is also fueling demand for American and European investment in Latin America, per a new report from Morning Consult.

“If China sticks with its zero-Covid policy, it could create opportunities for competitors all over the world,” per Josh Lipsky, Atlantic Council.

UKRAINE FRONTS

KYIV AND MOSCOW TEST WATERS FOR METAL TALKS: The pact reached last month to export grain out of Ukraine through a safe corridor in the Black Sea may lead to an agreement on shipping metals like iron ore. Ukraine’s chief trade negotiator Taras Kachka told POLITICO that “Russian producers are desperate … Russian steel in Black Sea ports is traded with [an] enormous discount.”

The rationale:Ukraine is the one of the world’s largest steel exporters, producing 21.4 million metric tons of crude steel in 2021. Russian-occupied Ukraine is also home to iron and steel production, and steel producers there are suffering from Western sanctions.

Moscow open to the idea: When asked about Kachka’s suggestion, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said that “the solution of such issues is impossible without direct linkage to the restrictions that apply to our producers — in this case, metal producers. Therefore, there is a lot to discuss here,” Interfax reported.

NEW ROCKET STRIKE ON UKRAINE NUCLEAR PLANT. The U.N. nuclear watchdog is again warning of radioactive disaster.

AMNESTY INTERNATIONAL UKRAINE CHIEF RESIGNED over a report, published Thursday, which said that the placement of Ukrainian troops in residential areas heightened risks to civilians during Russia’s invasion. Oksana Pokalchuk resigned in protest, accusing Amnesty chiefs of not understanding the realities of wartime in the country. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy led a chorus of officials in complaining that the report was a blame-shifting propaganda gift to Moscow.

Anti-personnel mines: In Donetsk and Kramatorsk, “Russia has highly likely attempted employment of PFM-1 and PFM-1S scatterable anti-personnel mines. Commonly called the ‘butterfly mine’, the PFM-1 series are deeply controversial, indiscriminate weapons,” per U.K. Ministry of Defense.

Russia banned energy and bank share sales: Investors from “unfriendly countries” may not sell energy projects and banks until the end of the year, per a new Kremlin edict published Friday.

1,060 Ukrainian towns and villages have been liberated from Russian occupiers, per Zelenskyy. That still leaves well over 2,000 under occupation.

AFGHANISTAN ONE YEAR LATER — ‘THEY BEAT GIRLS JUST FOR SMILING’: Welcome to life in Afghanistan one year after the Taliban’s return: where girl students now make plans to fail sixth grade so they can keep returning to the classroom — ”harnessing their intelligence to self-sabotage,” as Emma Graham-Harrison reports.

CLIMATE CORNER

The probably good news — U.S. climate bill almost at Biden’s desk: The Inflation Reduction Act allocates $369 billion to reducing greenhouse gas emissions and investing in renewable energy sources, just over $1,000 per American resident. If fully implemented, the act is predicted to cut 7 to 9 percent from total U.S. carbon emissions. That won’t be enough for the U.S. to meet its 2030 Paris climate agreement commitments, but would still be the biggest single emissions reduction contribution in history.

The definitely good news — First subsidy-free offshore wind farm open: The 1.5 gigawatt Hollandse Kust Zuid wind farm located off the coast of the Netherlands has begun generating electricity and feeding it into the Dutch electricity grid. Swedish power company Vattenfall won a bidding process in 2019, and began installing the turbines in April: Today, 36 out of a planned 140 turbines have been installed.

The bad news — Rhine River runs dry: The Rhine connects Europe’s mega-ports (Rotterdam and Antwerp) to Germany’s industrial heartland and landlocked Switzerland. Well, it did. When the water level is just 19 inches at the most critical navigation point in the river, as it is today, some ships can’t pass. The water levels are on track to hit a record low by October.

YOUR FEEDBACK: I asked what you thought about new air-conditioning limits being imposed in parts of Europe to conserve energy. Dolores Oliver from Pittsburgh wants fellow Global Insider readers to toughen up: “We keep our heat at 55°F during the day and 50°F at night during winter. Our air conditioner is 75°F in summer,” she wrote Global Insider.

“We have all become used to a cushy life. We can’t comprehend losing our comfort even when the cost is due to the terrible aggressions of another country. Let us remember what citizens of Europe as a whole and US/Canada had to endure during and after WW2. Let us endure so we may look back at our efforts and look forward with unified pride at how we came together and supported the Ukrainian people whose very lives are at risk.”

GERMAN DIPLOMAT ARRESTED OVER DEAD HUSBAND IN BRAZIL: The diplomat, Uwe Herbert Hahn, claimed that his husband, Walter Henri Maximilien Biot, collapsed, hitting his head after drinking and taking sleeping pills. Police say Biot died of neck trauma and was severely beaten. They described Hahn’s explanation as “incompatible” with the evidence and alleged that the diplomat also attempted to clean up the scene before the police arrived.

GREAT SALARY CONVERGENCE: It used to mean living in a mid-tier city or town meant being paid less than living in a world capital like New York, or global tech’s Bay Area hub. Now, as more companies hire from national rather than regional talent pools, and give up on telling workers where they have to locate, salaries are balancing out between the most expensive and cheaper cities.

The pay gap between the Bay Area and Washington, D.C., shrunk from 15 percent to 3 percent during the pandemic, for example. More from Aki Ito.

NEW MICRONATION: The mysteries that gave birth to the world’s newest attempted micronation off Scotland, presided over by mindbender and spoon abuser Uri Geller.

HUB — Solutions Story Tracker: If you’re frustrated at negativity in journalism, Dave Bornstein offers you the Solutions Journalism Network.

PLAY: ​​Patriots for Free. Peter Morgan (The Crown, Frost/Nixon) has new play about Vladimir Putin and oligarch Boris Berezovsky, starring Tom Hollander, at London’s Almeida Theater.

Thanks to editor Ben Pauker and producer Hannah Farrow. 

SUBSCRIBE to the POLITICO newsletter family: D.C. Playbook | Brussels Playbook | London Playbook | ParisPlaybook | Ottawa Playbook | EU Confidential | D.C. Influence | EU Influence | London Influence | Digital Bridge | China Direct | Berlin Bulletin | Living Cities

POLITICO is now on Snapchat watch my first show here, on the race to replace Boris Johnson.




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Opinion | Brazil’s Jair Bolsonaro Is Afraid of Going to Jail, and He’s Right to Be

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SÃO PAULO, Brazil — “I’m letting the scoundrels know,” President Jair Bolsonaro told supporters last year, “I’ll never be imprisoned!”

He was shouting. But then, Mr. Bolsonaro tends to become animated when talking about the prospect of prison. “By God above,” he declared to an audience of businesspeople in May, “I’ll never be arrested.” As he spends “more than half” of his time dealing with lawsuits, he surely feels well armed against arrest. But there’s desperation in his defiance. The fate of the former Bolivian President Jeanine Áñez, who was recently sentenced to prison for allegedly orchestrating a coup, hangs heavy in the air.

For Mr. Bolsonaro, it’s a cautionary tale. Ahead of presidential elections in October, which he’s on course to lose, Mr. Bolsonaro is plainly worried he too may be arrested for, as he put it with uncharacteristic understatement, “antidemocratic actions.” That fear explains his energetic attempts to discredit the election before it happens — such as, for example, gathering dozens of foreign diplomats to fulminate against the country’s electronic voting system.

Yet however absurd the behavior — and forcing ambassadors to sit through a crazed 47-minute diatribe is certainly on the wacky end of the spectrum — the underlying motive makes perfect sense. Because the truth is that Mr. Bolsonaro has plenty of reasons to fear prison. In fact, it’s getting hard to keep track of all the charges against the president and his government.

To start with, there’s the small matter of a Supreme Court investigation into Mr. Bolsonaro’s allies for participating in a kind of “digital militia” that floods social media with disinformation and coordinates smear campaigns against political opponents. In a related inquiry, Mr. Bolsonaro himself is being investigated for, in the words of a Federal Police report, his “direct and relevant role” in promoting disinformation.

Yet Mr. Bolsonaro’s wrongdoing is hardly confined to the digital world. Corruption scandals have defined his tenure, and the rot starts at home. Two of his sons, who also hold public offices, have been accused by state prosecutors of systematically stealing public funds by pocketing part of the salaries of close associates and ghost employees on their payrolls. Similar accusations, concerning his period as a lawmaker, have been directed at the president himself. In March, he was charged with administrative improbity for keeping a ghost employee as his congressional aide for 15 years. (The supposed aide was actually an açaí seller.)

Charges of corruption also surround high-ranking members of the government. In June, Brazil’s former education minister, Milton Ribeiro, was arrested on charges of influence peddling. Mr. Bolsonaro, who is mentioned by name by Mr. Ribeiro in compromising audio clips, was steadfast in his defense of the minister. “I would put my face in the fire for Milton,” the president said before the arrest, later explaining that he would only put his hand in the fire. He maintains, against all available evidence, there is no “endemic corruption” in his government.

Then there’s the damning report by the special Senate committee on Brazil’s Covid-19 response, which describes how the president actively helped to spread the virus and can be held responsible for many of Brazil’s 679,000 deaths. It recommends that Mr. Bolsonaro be charged with nine crimes, including misuse of public funds, violation of social rights and crimes against humanity.

How does the president respond to this swirling charge sheet? With secrecy orders. These injunctions, concealing evidence for a century, have been applied to all manner of “sensitive” information: the detailed expenses of Mr. Bolsonaro’s corporate credit card; the army’s disciplinary process that acquitted a general and former health minister for having participated in a pro-Bolsonaro demonstration; and fiscal reports from the corruption investigation targeting his eldest son. This is a far cry from the man who, early in his tenure, bragged of bringing “transparency above all else!”

If secrecy doesn’t work, there’s obstruction. Mr. Bolsonaro has frequently been accused of trying to obtain privileged information from investigations, or to stymie them altogether. In the most notorious instance, the president was accused by his own former minister of justice of interfering with the independence of the Federal Police. It’s a credible charge. After all, in a leaked recording of a ministerial meeting two years ago, Mr. Bolsonaro was caught saying that he wasn’t going to “wait to see my family or my friends get screwed” when he could just as well replace law enforcement officials.

To exercise that power, though, he needs to keep his job. With that in mind, Mr. Bolsonaro has been handing out top government jobs and using a pot of funds, called a “secret budget” for its lack of transparency, to guarantee the support of centrist lawmakers. Given the strength of calls for impeachment — as of December 2021, over 130 requests had been filed against him — a bank of support is crucial. The strategy is no secret: Mr. Bolsonaro confessed to doing both in order to “placate Congress.” He denies that the budget is secret, despite the fact that those who request funds from it remain anonymous.

But the bigger challenge is winning over the electorate. There, again, Mr. Bolsonaro is resorting to tricks and workarounds. In July, Congress passed a constitutional amendment — nicknamed the “kamikaze bill” by the minister of the economy — that grants the government the right to spend an extra $7.6 billion on welfare payments and other benefits until Dec. 31. If it sounds like a shameless attempt to gin up support across the country, that’s because it is.

Whether it will help the president’s cause, who knows. But the signal it sends is unmistakable: Mr. Bolsonaro is desperate to avoid defeat. And he has every reason to be.


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How to Report Police Misconduct Amid George Floyd Protests — and What to Expect If You Do

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As protests sparked by the death of George Floyd rage around the city and nation, some New Yorkers may find themselves experiencing or witnessing police misconduct.

But what to do about it?

For those looking to report potentially unlawful police actions somewhere beyond social media, it can be “a really challenging process,” said attorney Andrew Case, a former spokesperson for the Civilian Complaint Review Board, or CCRB, which looks into alleged misconduct by the NYPD.

“The system is not set up to make it easy for people to report misconduct and get satisfaction from it,” he said.

Jennvine Wong, an attorney with the Cop Accountability Project at the Legal Aid Society, said giving an organization like hers a call may be a good first step. 

The group does not investigate individual complaints against police officers, but can offer guidance on navigating a confusing system or help you go to the next step — and beyond.

“It might not be just one step. We can give them three different ways that they want to approach it, and also talk through how they want to approach it,” she said.

If you are seeking financial compensation, you’ll need a lawyer to file a civil lawsuit.

There are various avenues to pursue disciplinary action against police. Case suggests considering what you want the outcome to be since “different agencies do different things well,” he said.

“The place that you report depends on what you want to have the report do,” said Case. “Something that people really should think very much about before they make any kind of report is — what are my goals here?”

The Civilian Complaint Review Board

If you want to see an individual officer disciplined, your best bet may be the CCRB, particularly since a court ruling from last week freed up the oversight board to take reports from anyone — not just direct victims of misconduct. That can include reports spurred by videos posted online.

The agency, with approximately 200 staffers, is the most common place people have leveled allegations against NYPD officers. In 2019, the review board got 4,959 complaints — the highest number since 2013. 

The board investigates four categories of police misconduct: force, abuse of authority, discourtesy and offensive language — collectively known as “FADO.”

Grievances about police corruption or neglect are sent to the NYPD’s Internal Affairs Bureau. 

CCRB probers gather evidence and question witnesses before filing a report to the 13-member board, which makes a decision on how to move forward. 

In CCRB parlance, a “complaint” can contain several “allegations.” In 2019, 24% of complaints were “substantiated” but only 12% of allegations, according to the board. Those cases are sent to the NYPD with a disciplinary recommendation. 

Meanwhile, 35% of allegations were “exonerated,” meaning the conduct described happened but the preponderance of the evidence determined no rules were broken. Another 33% were unsubstantiated and 9% were unfounded, while 11% of cases fell apart because the officers in question were unidentified.

Some 24 % of complaints investigated by the CCRB were substantiated last year.

The suggested penalties include loss of vacation time, suspension or termination. The police commissioner has final say and has historically downgraded or ignored some of the CCRB recommendations. 

Complaints can be filed online or by calling 311 or the CCRB’s hotline at 1-800-341-2272 or 311. They can also be mailed to 100 Church St., 10th Floor, New York, NY 10007. 

The State Attorney General’s Office

If you think your case should be part of a larger investigation of a systemic issue, the state Attorney General’s office may be a better option, or going to an advocacy group like the New York Civil Liberties Union. 

The AG’s office handles police-related discrimination through its Civil Rights Bureau and public corruption issues through its Public Integrity Unit. But aside from a unit tasked to investigate police-caused deaths of unarmed people, no division directly investigates individual cases of police misconduct. 

New York State Attorney General Letitia James

On Sunday, however, Gov. Andrew Cuomo asked Attorney General Letitia James to investigate allegations of police brutality at this weekend’s protests. The office is seeking complaints from the public via email, at complaints@ag.ny.gov.

The NYPD Internal Affairs Bureau

The Internal Affairs Bureau of the Police Department is charged with investigating corruption and misconduct from within. The IAB accepts complaints from the public via telephone, email or mail. To file a complaint, email IAB@NYPD.org or call (212) 741-8401. Mail goes to P.O. Box 10001, New York, NY 10014.

A big caveat: No investigation by IAB will be made available to the public, so it may be unclear what, if any, discipline results. 

Big caveat: No investigation by IAB will be made public.

It’s also possible the IAB will refer your complaint to the CCRB if investigators determine the case does not fall under their purview, Wong noted.

Office of the Inspector General for the NYPD

This independent body, created by the City Council in 2013, investigates the NYPD for abuse, fraud and corruption. It’s important to note that the office “was not established to replicate the investigative functions of the Civilian Complaint Review Board (CCRB) or NYPD’s Internal Affairs Bureau (IAB),” its website says. The office can investigate individual officers, but “largely focuses on patterns and trends.”

The Inspector General takes complaints through an online form, by phone at (212) 806-5200 and through the mail.

In 2019, the NYPD IG’s office took just nine complaints of police misconduct.

Few New Yorkers have used this method to report allegations in recent years. In 2019, the office took just nine complaints of police misconduct, according to data from the CCRB, and has received just three so far this year.

The office makes only recommendations of its findings to the NYPD, mayor and City Council, but has no authority to change policies or discipline officers according to the Brennan Center for Justice.

Prepare to Wait

If you do submit a complaint to an investigative agency, be patient, Wong said.

“The investigations can sometimes take a long time, which I think is one of the top complaints that people have,” she said. 

Hearing back about a complaint can take months.

Eventually, you will likely be interviewed. Get ready to be “calm and prepared and ready to tell a detailed account of your story,” Case said.

“People will ask pretty detailed, probing questions. Where were you? When did you get there? What were you doing there? What actions did you observe?” he said.

Be ‘calm and prepared and ready to tell a detailed account of your story.’

And be honest, he advises.

“They will evaluate your credibility better, ironically, if you appear to be truthful enough to say, ‘Well, yeah, you know, they said step off the sidewalk and I didn’t step off the sidewalk.’ That doesn’t mean they are allowed to just throw you to the ground,” he said.

Wong added that reporting misconduct does not necessarily lead to serious discipline for any officers, even if found guilty.

If disciplinary action does follow, New Yorkers will be able to find a record of it — a new change advocates have long lobbied for.

Previously, all disciplinary actions taken were shielded from public view due to a law known as “50-a.” Police-brutality protests in June renewed a push to scrap the law and it has now been repealed.

Wong said the law is key to keep the police accountable.

“Without that transparency, it means that the NYPD is saying ‘Trust us, we can police ourselves,’” said Wong.




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𝐗𝟐𝟐 𝐑𝐄𝐏𝐎𝐑𝐓! 𝐄𝐏. 𝟐𝟖𝟏𝟕𝐀 – 𝐓𝐎𝐎𝐊 𝐓𝐇𝐄 𝐄𝐂𝐎𝐍𝐎𝐌𝐈𝐂 𝐁𝐀𝐈𝐓, 𝐓𝐇𝐄𝐘 𝐀𝐑𝐄 𝐓𝐑𝐀𝐏𝐏𝐄𝐃, 𝐖𝐀𝐓𝐂𝐇 𝐖𝐇𝐀𝐓 𝐇𝐀𝐏𝐏𝐄𝐍𝐒 𝐍𝐄𝐗𝐓

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